Friday 15 March 2013

Albert Bartlett (Spa) Novices' Hurdle – Grade 1 – 3m
The ill-fated Brindisi Breeze and the late Cambell Gillies beat Boston Bob

Overview
The staying hurdle for novices. This is usually taken by one of the market leaders apart from Berties Dream (33/1) – good day that day!!

8-Year Trends
8/8 Had achieved an RPR of 139 or more
8/8 Had raced over hurdles at least 3 times.
8/8 Had finished top 4 in a Graded Hurdle last time.
8/8 Hadn't run for 27 days or more.
7/8 Had won at 2m 5f or more.
7/8 Were aged 6 or 7.
7/8 Had won a Class 1 Hurdle

Contenders 10 year trends winner averaged 4.4 stars
At Fishers Cross 5/2f ***** The best horse in the race, turned over The New One earlier in the year. The one to beat.

Inish Island 12/1 ***** I fancied this for a while, but a few other decent horses have been rerouted. Good stuff.

Our Vinnie 10/1 ***** Pricewise has tipped this, the price has already shortened, was 20/1 last night, I advised on twitter to take the 12/1 that was on offer.

Conclusions
These 3 are the only ones that even get near to looking like an Albert Bartlett winner. Everything else is 1 or 2 stars, so I will be most disappointed if anything else wins. At Fishers Cross (5/2av) should win, but I will be on the other two, INISH ISLAND (12/1) and OUR VINNIE (10/1). Good luck.

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