Weatherbys Champion Bumper – Grade 1 – 2m 1/2f

Champagne Fever wins the Supreme Novices yesterday, after taking last years Bumper

10-Year Trends

9/10 Had won a bumper with 13 or more runners. [Champagne Fever (9r, 2^nd in 13r)]

9/10 Were aged 5 or 6. [Cue Card was 4]

9/10 Won last time. [Liberman was 2^nd]

9/10 Had achieved a RPR of 118 or more. (Exceptions had won their only start).

8/10 Had won a bumper worth at least £4,000. (Exceptions had won their only start)

8/10 Hadn't raced for at least 33 days. [Hairy Molly (17) and Cousin Vinny (22)]

Additionally

18 of the 20 winners had won last time out.

16 of the 20 winners were Irish-bred.

15 of the 20 winners were trained in Ireland.

14 of the 20 winners were from the first 6 in the market.

14 of the last 15 winners were aged 5 or 6.

Contenders – 10 year trends winner averaged 3.9 stars

Blackmail 12/1 **** Tony Martin's 2^nd string. Each-way chance.

Drumlee 28/1 **** Once raced. Could be anything. Don't rule out.

Golantilla 10/1 ***** Drifting in the market, but one of only 2 that is perfect on the trends.

Milo Man 20/1 **** No win in a big field puts doubts in my mind.

Regal Encore 9/1 **** The slight doubt is his lack of win in a big field or decent bumper.

Sizing Tennessee 20/1 **** Another who's wins are in small fields

Union Dues 9/1 ***** Fits all the trends and judging by the market, could be the winner.

Le Vent D'Antan 8/1f **** The best 4yo here. Short in the market, but I can't put you off if you fancy it.

Conclusions:

Very open race as you can see. Win bets on GOLANTILLA (10/1) and UNION DUES (9/1) are an options. I can't be confident about too much. Hoping for a £600 exacta on Cue Card and Al Ferof is too much to hope for. Stick to any of the 8 for a chance.