Champions Day at Newmarket and a decent card at Cheltenham.
I had a 
(:bangheadsmile:) moment from yesterday. Note to self, when a horse you love and respect is running, don't ignore it. BACK IT. I'd already won on Charlie Farnsbarns as a 2 year old, at 25/1 and a 66/1 2nd to Authorised. He ran decently last week and he goes and bloody wins yesterday @ 50/1.... Sorry for the pause, I had to wipe a tear from my eye at the lost beer money...
(:bangheadsmile:) moment from yesterday. Note to self, when a horse you love and respect is running, don't ignore it. BACK IT. I'd already won on Charlie Farnsbarns as a 2 year old, at 25/1 and a 66/1 2nd to Authorised. He ran decently last week and he goes and bloody wins yesterday @ 50/1.... Sorry for the pause, I had to wipe a tear from my eye at the lost beer money...Righto...
Newmarket
2.05
Looks a good start to the day at Newmarket. I will probably go for Stimulation (5/1f) as he has the conditions to suit today and his Major contenders prefer it softer. Major Cadeaux (6/1, sportingbet) is one and last year's winner Al Qasi (14/1) another.
2.35
Now, let's get this nailed before I forget. Back Shaweel (12/1). Nice horse who won if you remember when I missed him. Rip Van Winkle (15/8f) looks opposable, and I will be. Nothing else to say really. Shaweel, Shaweel, Shaweel, Shaweel
3.10
The feature race of the day and it looks to be between 3 horses. New Approach (8/5f, sportingbet) is an obvious favourite, however he isn't my cup of tea with all the shenanigans that come with him. French raiders have an excellent record and the race and Russian Cross (4/1, SJ, tote) comes here in excellent form. Of the others, Pipedreamer (7/1, spbet, Sky, tote) has been running well without winning and looks to have the same fate again. Of the e/w priced runners, Traffic Guard (16/1, sportingbet) looks to be a few points overpriced as he ran New Approach close and can make the frame.
3.50
The Cesarewitch, a cracking race to end the season. The Morning Line tells me to ignore any horses drawn lower than 17. That's fine by me. I fancy Liberate (drawn 24), there's a little 9/1 floating around, but I expect that to go. Asker Tau (5/1) has won his last 5 but is drawn in 14. Bulwark (50/1) is one of those horses who only wins when you don't have the cash down and is drawn in a snug 21. Other drawn high and prominent in the betting are Arc Bleu (9/1 tote) and Gee Dee Nen (10/1). To be honest it's unbelievably open, so I can't dissuade you from backing anything. Last Year's winner is Leg Spinner (25/1), trouble is he's out of form, not greatly drawn and is up 10lbs on last year's win. One more in good form, but is drawn on the wrong side is Hits Only Vic (25/1).In his last 9 runs he's record is 11122211. Worth a punt?
5.35
A little value here if you believe that jockeys make awful tipsters. I do. Frankie is on Veracity (7/2f, Ladbrokes) here. I prefer stablemate Sagara (8/1, sky) at that price.
Cheltenham
3.25 Good race, a few out for the first time, but I don't think we should be worried about that. Patman Du Charmil (7/1) will drag them around and smash them into the ground... probably.
Fier Normand (13/2f, pagebet), can't have him myself. Think he should be watched today.
One horse in form, but has to step up on what he's done in the summer is Alphabetical (14/1). Wouldn't rule out, but should find this a lot tougher than Fontwell Park. Private Be (9/1, betfred) has to prove he can finish races first. Patman for me I think.
Kelso
3.15 One to watch today is Kalahari King. He's 4/5 but did good things at the tail end of the season. Could be one for your Ten To Follow lists if he cruises up today on his chase debut.
Weekend Footie
Middlesbrough looks a big 11/2 to beat Chelsea today. On their day they turn over the big sides regularly and Gareth Southgate's got them moulded into a team that's hard to beat. Chelsea are superb but have so many injuries that you can't stick them onto your bankers section. you can get 18/1 on the Smoggies winning 1-0, & 28/1 on 2-1. Worth a fiver?
Bolton to beat Blackburn @ 6/4 (Hills). Hmm, Bolton are back to their winning ways and Blackburn haven't really fired under Ince. 6/4 looks a big price on that basis. Could boost the old accumulator if it comes in.
Man City @ Newcastle @ 6/4 (Boyle, SJ, Betdirect) on Monday. Can JFK save Newcastle? They haven't scored whilst he's watched them :-) . Could be a 2-2 draw, but Man City look a little bit of value here.
Shrewsbury vs Bournemouth @ 4/5. Well they did lose to Port Vale (13/2) last week, but surely the Shrews ain't gonna let it happen twice. Bournemouth, are decent on their day, but @ 4/5 (sky, Bluesq) hopefully it won't be today.
Right that's it, a bacon sarnie for me...
