Hope you all had a good Christmas... Now lets nail the bookies in 2009. Well Vegas was a bit up and down. The poker was excellent and the rest of the gambling was poor, but a great time was enjoyed by all regardless of the losses. I must give up the stupid games.. So no more Roulette, Pai Gow, 3 card poker or machines. Think I'll play some cash next time :-)
Looks a good couple of jumping cards today.
Newbury
2.10 Looks a race between Dave's Dream (4/5f) and China Gold (4/1). Both should improve for this. Now you know I don't bet shorter than 3/1 in general, so I think China Gold holds the value in this. This will be Dave's Dream's hardest test so far and I couldn't back him at odds on.
China Gold is overpriced.
2.45 A big race for Diamond Harry (8/11f). Massasoit (11/4, bluesq) will give him his biggest test so far. A race to watch methinks.
3.15 Royal Kicks was 12/1 with Paddy Power an hour ago, but I missed that and had to settle for 10/1. Being backed this morning and only Ladbrokes and Boylesports have him at 10/1. Think he will start 6/1ish. Suzy Smith seems to have found the answer and is well worth backing at this price.
3.50 I don't usually do bumpers, but Fabian The Fox is 25/1 with sportingbet, which is one of the most ridiculous prices of the year. Didn't do badly on debut and is 8/1 with bet365. Get on for a sporting e/w or back to lay bet.
Musselburgh
12.45 I fancy Seize (4/1) to bounce back from an average start to the season. Will relish the ground and is decent value in my book. Greenock is 25/1 and shouldn't be. I've had a small interest on its price.
2.55 Categorical (3/1f) looks to have a good chance here. The 100/30 has gone now and this is on the edge of value for me.
3.30 Kyber (7/2jf) needs to shake off Bolodenka (7/2jf) to gain a deserved win. Pretty impressive first hurdle start for nearly 2 years after a flat campaign. The winner Viper looks useful.
Thats it.. Nail sportingbet on Fabian The Fox please.
11.13 update: Fabian is 16/1 with sportingbet..... still overpriced, silly fools
