not bad using the draw stats on tuesday. I made an error in one. Manyriverstocross won from a 'bad draw' but it was 1m4f and didn't matter. Whoopsie...
Goodwood
2.10 High draw is best. Stall 10 and upwards I think. The top 4 in the betting are all on this side. Mirrored (4/1f), Roman Republic (6/1), Hyades (8/1) and Set The Trend (12/1, Stan James).
2.45
Borderlescott (7/2f) is drawn well and should challenge. Ialysos (7/1) the Greek freak is also on that side. Can't have Kingsgate Native. My e/w money is going on the Hills/Hills pairing on Equiano (20/1, spbet, PP, Sky, Bluesq).
3.25
Fav Schiaparelli looks not great value here and i'm looking to take it on. Caracciola could be the one at 8/1, however Friston Forest offers the most value at 14/1 with Betfred.
4.00
Nothing stands out in this.
4.35
High draw is best in this... means you should oppose Shamwari Lodge and Infiraad.
5.10
High draw again. 2yo race. 2 favs look ok, but I wouldn't touch them with the proverbial stolen money.
5.45
Big sprint. Not too high a draw here. High but not right out on the rail. Go to the pub.....
Epsom
5.55
Calculating (16/1, general) is a little too big in this. Has form up to 2m and also at 1m6. This should still be ok for him. Hasn't won on the turf is a worry though.
Thursday 30 July 2009
Tuesday 28 July 2009
Glorious
Goodwood is here... fantastic.... 5 days to do your dough. Seriously. Royal Ascot was about 2 weeks long... I was punting everyday. I lost. I don't make the same mistake at GG.
There are some pointers in the draw at Goodwood, especially over the shorter distances. Basically you need to be drawn high. Low drawn horses have awful records. I will put a few horses down on here but I don't think I'll be betting today.
Munsef won @ 8/1 (from 12s). Very nice race and never gave up. Charlie Cool was 6th, but it was too hot for him, look out if he runs in a lower grade.
Goodwood
2.10
Favoured horses drawn well: Alfathaa (7/1) and William Blake (9/1).
Favoured horses drawn badly: Royal Destination (5/1f) and Sweet Lighning (7/1).
2.45
No draw bias, but Harbinger (9/4f) looks very opposable.
3.25
Main Aim (6/4f) drawn in 1 and JJ The Jet Plane (7/2) drawn in 2. Not good, but they are better than most of the rest and its an 8 runner race.
4.00 Monsieur Chevalier(4/5f) is drawn well (in 10) and is a class apart. Archers Road (20/1) is also drawn well and in any other race would be a lot shorter. He can't beat the favourite, but can get a place.
4.35
Favoured horses drawn well: Cool Strike (11/2f) and Yes Mr President (7/1).
Favoured horses drawn badly: Manyriverstocross (15/2) and Waldvogel (8/1).
Drill Seargent (14/1) is drawn well and could also run a good race.
5.10
Favoured horses drawn well: Wellington Place (15/2f), Mister Dee Bee (8/1 and The Witch Doctor (8/1).
Favoured horses drawn badly: Mujood (8/1)
Ellemujie (16/1) and Marajaa (14/1) are also drawn well.
5.45
2yo race. The way is to lay the favourite here. Though Lowdown isn't the worst favourite i've seen in a 2yo race.
Rushed today. next update (possible evening bets tomorrow) thursday
There are some pointers in the draw at Goodwood, especially over the shorter distances. Basically you need to be drawn high. Low drawn horses have awful records. I will put a few horses down on here but I don't think I'll be betting today.
Munsef won @ 8/1 (from 12s). Very nice race and never gave up. Charlie Cool was 6th, but it was too hot for him, look out if he runs in a lower grade.
Goodwood
2.10
Favoured horses drawn well: Alfathaa (7/1) and William Blake (9/1).
Favoured horses drawn badly: Royal Destination (5/1f) and Sweet Lighning (7/1).
2.45
No draw bias, but Harbinger (9/4f) looks very opposable.
3.25
Main Aim (6/4f) drawn in 1 and JJ The Jet Plane (7/2) drawn in 2. Not good, but they are better than most of the rest and its an 8 runner race.
4.00 Monsieur Chevalier(4/5f) is drawn well (in 10) and is a class apart. Archers Road (20/1) is also drawn well and in any other race would be a lot shorter. He can't beat the favourite, but can get a place.
4.35
Favoured horses drawn well: Cool Strike (11/2f) and Yes Mr President (7/1).
Favoured horses drawn badly: Manyriverstocross (15/2) and Waldvogel (8/1).
Drill Seargent (14/1) is drawn well and could also run a good race.
5.10
Favoured horses drawn well: Wellington Place (15/2f), Mister Dee Bee (8/1 and The Witch Doctor (8/1).
Favoured horses drawn badly: Mujood (8/1)
Ellemujie (16/1) and Marajaa (14/1) are also drawn well.
5.45
2yo race. The way is to lay the favourite here. Though Lowdown isn't the worst favourite i've seen in a 2yo race.
Rushed today. next update (possible evening bets tomorrow) thursday
Sunday 26 July 2009
Charlie Cool.... tidy
Friday was ok....
Scotch Corner was punted into 6/1 and finished 2nd by a short head, looked beat with 1/2 furlong to go and got back up well. Would have won with another 20yds.
Falcon's Tribute never looked like winning but someone pressed the wrong button on Betfair and hoovered up all my lays so a small profit was gleaned.
Gosforth Park - NR
Dirar wonnd beat Lord Baskerville into 2nd place, so a small profit made in this.
Good Gorsoon was 4th, typically.
Today looks a good day. I've whittled it down to 2 bets. There is a lot of value around, but I don't want to waffle on for hours.
Ascot 4.35 Munsef (12/1, betfred) is a consistant type and its not the greatest price going for a 15 runner handicap. 2008 was pretty disappointing but has bounced back well this year with a good 2nd at Haydock LTO. Definitely don't take less than the 12/1.
Pontefract 3.50 Another good race where 'anything' can win. Perks (7/2) and Orizaba (2/1f)
look strong for this, but Bet365 have offered Charlie Cool @ 25/1. Unbelievable price. Should come on for his run in June (1st race for 20 months) and hopefully back to his 2007 form, where he won a Class 2 and was placed twice in Class 1s.
Racing Post Update: Corner shop ran out today, do I, don't I.... arggggh.... 25p a day..... hmmmmmm.
Scotch Corner was punted into 6/1 and finished 2nd by a short head, looked beat with 1/2 furlong to go and got back up well. Would have won with another 20yds.
Falcon's Tribute never looked like winning but someone pressed the wrong button on Betfair and hoovered up all my lays so a small profit was gleaned.
Gosforth Park - NR
Dirar wonnd beat Lord Baskerville into 2nd place, so a small profit made in this.
Good Gorsoon was 4th, typically.
Today looks a good day. I've whittled it down to 2 bets. There is a lot of value around, but I don't want to waffle on for hours.
Ascot 4.35 Munsef (12/1, betfred) is a consistant type and its not the greatest price going for a 15 runner handicap. 2008 was pretty disappointing but has bounced back well this year with a good 2nd at Haydock LTO. Definitely don't take less than the 12/1.
Pontefract 3.50 Another good race where 'anything' can win. Perks (7/2) and Orizaba (2/1f)
look strong for this, but Bet365 have offered Charlie Cool @ 25/1. Unbelievable price. Should come on for his run in June (1st race for 20 months) and hopefully back to his 2007 form, where he won a Class 2 and was placed twice in Class 1s.
Racing Post Update: Corner shop ran out today, do I, don't I.... arggggh.... 25p a day..... hmmmmmm.
Friday 24 July 2009
Friday Fun
Iris's Flyer didn't do the business... drifted to 20/1 in fact. Not happy about that. More signs that the Racing Post is the devil incarnate. No winners since it introduced it's members club. I will not kowtow down to these cyberbullies. I don't want pricewise and I certainly don't want the other twats opinions on horses, I don't want spotlight (although I readi t for fits and giggles), the post-data is useful-ish. I do like using their lifetime form and reading through the results and getting a feel for the nag I'm going to back. I am weakening though... I almost gave in today, but have to be strong..... give me a 50p for the day option and i'll succumb.
Today is another of those millionaire or bust days..... not enough time for a complete breakdown of the recommended bets. As Gordon Gecko meant to say.... Breakeven is good.
Southwell 2.15 Scotch Corner @ 20/1 (PP, Hills, Skybet, totesport) Done nothing so far but this is weaker looking than some of his races. 20/1 looks big and might be worth looking him up.
Southwell 3.25 Falcon's Tribute @ 20/1 (sportingbet, Hills) Can't get on at either so I can't bet here, however there's no reason why Falcon's Tribute is 20/1.
Thirsk 3.40 Gosforth Park @ 40/1 (vcbet, SJ, Ladbrokes) Overpriced, if he gets a place I'll be more than happy.
Southwell 5.10 Newgate @ 20/1 (Totesport, SJ, sportingbet) and Lord Baskerville @ 20/1 (Coral, Bet365, PP) are viable e/w alternatives to Dirar (won last night). One should place, trouble is which one??? Split stakes here.
Newmarket 7.40 Good Gorsoon @ 14/1 (Coral) One of my stronger e/w bets. Racing above his station recenty, down in Class 3 he's got a good chance at a nice price.
And now it's pissing down outside, oh well, bets are already on.
Today is another of those millionaire or bust days..... not enough time for a complete breakdown of the recommended bets. As Gordon Gecko meant to say.... Breakeven is good.
Southwell 2.15 Scotch Corner @ 20/1 (PP, Hills, Skybet, totesport) Done nothing so far but this is weaker looking than some of his races. 20/1 looks big and might be worth looking him up.
Southwell 3.25 Falcon's Tribute @ 20/1 (sportingbet, Hills) Can't get on at either so I can't bet here, however there's no reason why Falcon's Tribute is 20/1.
Thirsk 3.40 Gosforth Park @ 40/1 (vcbet, SJ, Ladbrokes) Overpriced, if he gets a place I'll be more than happy.
Southwell 5.10 Newgate @ 20/1 (Totesport, SJ, sportingbet) and Lord Baskerville @ 20/1 (Coral, Bet365, PP) are viable e/w alternatives to Dirar (won last night). One should place, trouble is which one??? Split stakes here.
Newmarket 7.40 Good Gorsoon @ 14/1 (Coral) One of my stronger e/w bets. Racing above his station recenty, down in Class 3 he's got a good chance at a nice price.
And now it's pissing down outside, oh well, bets are already on.
Tuesday 21 July 2009
I thought Ray Of Joy ran decently last night, led til the final furlong and in a bunch finish managed 6th. Happy with the run, not much money for it though.
Had backed Hallingdal previously, and he's failed to deliver again. Was kept out the back and looked to be running on late, so the 1m2f was ok. I'll weight up whether he's worth putting up here again.
Bangor-On-Dee
9.00 Tonight Iris's Flyer looks a big old price. 14/1 around with the usual guaranteed odds firms (SJ and bet365). Won at Southwell in April and fell on his last run.
Had backed Hallingdal previously, and he's failed to deliver again. Was kept out the back and looked to be running on late, so the 1m2f was ok. I'll weight up whether he's worth putting up here again.
Bangor-On-Dee
9.00 Tonight Iris's Flyer looks a big old price. 14/1 around with the usual guaranteed odds firms (SJ and bet365). Won at Southwell in April and fell on his last run.
Monday 20 July 2009
2 late ones
Just back from a relaxing break from it all..... A very profitable punting weekend.... yup I didn't have a bet..... With all that rain around and horses coming out of races every which way, any value bets were undone by rule 4 and the like. We can start the new week refreshed coz last week was pants, big style. The cricket has been pretty good though and England have beaten the Aussies at Lord's for the first time since 1934. (No Ashes editorial this week has failed to mention this.... boring farts). Anyways back to the old 'orses.
I've just had a quick browse of tonights cards and 2 horses stand out:
Windsor
7.50 Ray Of Joy (22/1, vcbet) is overpriced (of course). Has been running well on the AW and needs to improve on his turf form, but is in decent form. His record on the sand is W2, Pl4 Unpl 1 from 7 runs. Just a 3rd from his 5 turf runs.
8.50 Hallingdal (20/1 bet365) seems to save his best for Windsor and is worth siding with here. Should be suited by 1m2f. This is probably the better bet of the two. Bet365 are out of line here.
Good luck..
I've just had a quick browse of tonights cards and 2 horses stand out:
Windsor
7.50 Ray Of Joy (22/1, vcbet) is overpriced (of course). Has been running well on the AW and needs to improve on his turf form, but is in decent form. His record on the sand is W2, Pl4 Unpl 1 from 7 runs. Just a 3rd from his 5 turf runs.
8.50 Hallingdal (20/1 bet365) seems to save his best for Windsor and is worth siding with here. Should be suited by 1m2f. This is probably the better bet of the two. Bet365 are out of line here.
Good luck..
Thursday 16 July 2009
Still Alive
Managed a small profit with Midnight Gold winning, no others got placed.
The first race of the day offers us some each way thievery.
Cartmel
2.00 Lake Wakatipu (11/8f) should have won last time and should be on a hat-trick today, however he managed to throw his jockey off when all set. He's a worthy favourite. However there is a little value in picking out Elusive Swallow (25/1) to get a place. His 2 races so far have been over fences and he's not set the world alight with 2 4ths. 3m looked too far over the jumps and 21/2$ m on the short side. 2m6f over hurdles could light his fire and he could be a steal here.
Epsom
8.20 Stanley Goodspeed (10/1, betfred) is another that is overpriced. 10/1 isn't an ew shot (in my book) so it may have to be on the nose. Getting some sort of form back recently with decent runs in May.
Doncaster
8.40 Tough handicap, but Huirlingham (16/1, Ladbrokes, Skybet) looks overpriced. This race should suit him and so should the ground which he hasn't had since a 4th at Nottingham.
Cricket
The 2nd Test starts today. It's still 0-0 thanks to the bowlers. England will need to bat a lot better on a good batting pitch and bowl 100 times better here. I expect Flintoff (injured) and Panesar (pants) to drop out. That means they may play 6 batsmen (I hope not) or Onions, swing king and headline-writers dream (there's definitely 2 more Tests in them anyway) . Harmison is a shoo-in judging by the pie-chuckers of the 1st test. I'm hoping that Swann and Broad batting at 7 and 8 will be good enough....... ANYWAYS....... BARMY ARMY... BARMY ARMY *hic*
WSOP Main Event
I have a small problem. The 'November 9' are now set after 8 days of hard graft. It looks a great final table with the UK's James Akenhead, who got really unlucky to lose to Grant Hinkle http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-fRaTnpd9mE and Jeff Shulman. The problem I have is a small 'fun' wager I had with a fellow contributor. He asked for 500/1 on Phil Ivey to win the Main Event. Piece of piss (66/1 was best price on t'internet) there are 6500 players after all.
Phil Ivey is one of the 'November 9'. FECK FECK FECK ........ Don't worry it's only for £2..... so I will be working doubly hard to make myself a grand in the hand here, just in case.
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You work hard for 8 days, you get up to £20m in chips, one of the big stacks of the tournament and the cooler hits you full in the face...... harsh
Billy Kopp Eliminated in 12th Place ($896,730) Wow. That's a succinct description of what just happened on the secondary feature table. Billy Kopp opened for 600,000 preflop from early position and was called by the small blind, Darvin Moon. So far, so good. On a flop of 
, Moon had first action and checked. He then called when Kopp bet 750,000. Again, nothing out of the ordinary yet. It was on the turn 
where everything went haywire. Moon checked again and drew a bet of 2.0 million from Kopp. Moon then check-raised to 6.0 million. Improbably, Kopp moved all in for about 20.0 million total. Even more improbably, Moon called! Kopp: 
Moon: 
Kopp looked like he wanted to cry when he saw Moon's hand. He knew that he was drawing dead and that Moon had him covered. Kopp had more than 80 big blinds to start the hand; with the 
river he had none. He didn't even wait for the river to come out, barreling out of the secondary feature table area as fast as he could. Moon is once again the chip leader with a whopping 45.0 million chips.
The first race of the day offers us some each way thievery.
Cartmel
2.00 Lake Wakatipu (11/8f) should have won last time and should be on a hat-trick today, however he managed to throw his jockey off when all set. He's a worthy favourite. However there is a little value in picking out Elusive Swallow (25/1) to get a place. His 2 races so far have been over fences and he's not set the world alight with 2 4ths. 3m looked too far over the jumps and 21/2$ m on the short side. 2m6f over hurdles could light his fire and he could be a steal here.
Epsom
8.20 Stanley Goodspeed (10/1, betfred) is another that is overpriced. 10/1 isn't an ew shot (in my book) so it may have to be on the nose. Getting some sort of form back recently with decent runs in May.
Doncaster
8.40 Tough handicap, but Huirlingham (16/1, Ladbrokes, Skybet) looks overpriced. This race should suit him and so should the ground which he hasn't had since a 4th at Nottingham.
Cricket
The 2nd Test starts today. It's still 0-0 thanks to the bowlers. England will need to bat a lot better on a good batting pitch and bowl 100 times better here. I expect Flintoff (injured) and Panesar (pants) to drop out. That means they may play 6 batsmen (I hope not) or Onions, swing king and headline-writers dream (there's definitely 2 more Tests in them anyway) . Harmison is a shoo-in judging by the pie-chuckers of the 1st test. I'm hoping that Swann and Broad batting at 7 and 8 will be good enough....... ANYWAYS....... BARMY ARMY... BARMY ARMY *hic*
WSOP Main Event
I have a small problem. The 'November 9' are now set after 8 days of hard graft. It looks a great final table with the UK's James Akenhead, who got really unlucky to lose to Grant Hinkle http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-fRaTnpd9mE and Jeff Shulman. The problem I have is a small 'fun' wager I had with a fellow contributor. He asked for 500/1 on Phil Ivey to win the Main Event. Piece of piss (66/1 was best price on t'internet) there are 6500 players after all.
Phil Ivey is one of the 'November 9'. FECK FECK FECK ........ Don't worry it's only for £2..... so I will be working doubly hard to make myself a grand in the hand here, just in case.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
You work hard for 8 days, you get up to £20m in chips, one of the big stacks of the tournament and the cooler hits you full in the face...... harsh
Billy Kopp Eliminated in 12th Place ($896,730)
, Moon had first action and checked. He then called when Kopp bet 750,000. Again, nothing out of the ordinary yet. It was on the turn where everything went haywire. Moon checked again and drew a bet of 2.0 million from Kopp. Moon then check-raised to 6.0 million. Improbably, Kopp moved all in for about 20.0 million total. Even more improbably, Moon called! Kopp: Moon: Kopp looked like he wanted to cry when he saw Moon's hand. He knew that he was drawing dead and that Moon had him covered. Kopp had more than 80 big blinds to start the hand; with the river he had none. He didn't even wait for the river to come out, barreling out of the secondary feature table area as fast as he could. Moon is once again the chip leader with a whopping 45.0 million chips.
Wednesday 15 July 2009
Hmmmm
Not particularly happy with yesterday...... I gave 3 tips, only 1 placed (Kalasam). Monte Pattino ran his race, went for it 4f out and faded. Highly Acclaimed was in the top 4 but never was going to get a place.
The problem was I could have given 4 more tips and 3 of them won (the other was beaten by a head) .... No I didn't back them either. 7 bets on a tuesday is a bit much.
No I'm on betting tilt....... I wasn't going to put up any selections today, but have had a strop and backed 7... No reasons, no rivals no nothing, just 7 picks that won't win......
TILT BET 1 Uttoxeter 3.10 Psychiatrist @ 14/1 (Boylesports, Sportingbet, VCbet, Stan James)
TILT BET 2 Uttoxeter 4.10 Midnight Gold @ 14/1 (Coral, William Hill)
TILT BET 3 Uttoxeter 4.40 Photogenique @ 12/1 (Bet365, Boylesports, vcbet, PaddyPower, Ladbrokes)
TILT BET 4 Worcester 6.40 Alfie's Isle @ 12/1 (Totesport, vcbet, Coral)
TILT BET 5 Kempton 6.50 Shark Man @ 14/1 (Stan James)
TILT BET 6 Kempton 7.50 Ocean Legend @ 12/1 (spbet, vcbet, Coral, Stan James, Skybet)
TILT BET 7 Kempton 9.20 Sew'n'So Character @ 16/1 (vcbet)
Fingers crossed I get my money back.......
The problem was I could have given 4 more tips and 3 of them won (the other was beaten by a head) .... No I didn't back them either. 7 bets on a tuesday is a bit much.
No I'm on betting tilt....... I wasn't going to put up any selections today, but have had a strop and backed 7... No reasons, no rivals no nothing, just 7 picks that won't win......
TILT BET 1 Uttoxeter 3.10 Psychiatrist @ 14/1 (Boylesports, Sportingbet, VCbet, Stan James)
TILT BET 2 Uttoxeter 4.10 Midnight Gold @ 14/1 (Coral, William Hill)
TILT BET 3 Uttoxeter 4.40 Photogenique @ 12/1 (Bet365, Boylesports, vcbet, PaddyPower, Ladbrokes)
TILT BET 4 Worcester 6.40 Alfie's Isle @ 12/1 (Totesport, vcbet, Coral)
TILT BET 5 Kempton 6.50 Shark Man @ 14/1 (Stan James)
TILT BET 6 Kempton 7.50 Ocean Legend @ 12/1 (spbet, vcbet, Coral, Stan James, Skybet)
TILT BET 7 Kempton 9.20 Sew'n'So Character @ 16/1 (vcbet)
Fingers crossed I get my money back.......
Tuesday 14 July 2009
Tuesday update
Beverley 5.45
I've decide to add Kalasam (12/1, betfred, sportingbet, Coral) to the mix. 15 runner handicap, and top weight, however he's been running well over a mile and drops down to C6 today. Has drifted on course in his last 3 runs and I think he has an excellent chance here. Downside is the weight he's giving to all, but he's better than these IMHO. Bookies may have been too generous here.
I've decide to add Kalasam (12/1, betfred, sportingbet, Coral) to the mix. 15 runner handicap, and top weight, however he's been running well over a mile and drops down to C6 today. Has drifted on course in his last 3 runs and I think he has an excellent chance here. Downside is the weight he's giving to all, but he's better than these IMHO. Bookies may have been too generous here.
Must do better
Sunday was one of those days where I was trying to find a winner, in stead of one jumping out at me. The only selection I was happy with was That Man Fox who's type has won these races before. One of the 3 favs came out leaving 7 runners and our horse was backed (after the rule4) but ultimately blew up.
I couldn't place Thunder Rock at a distance I was confident he'd do well at, however the market backed him into 13/2 and I just had a feeling that he was in for a reason. He was out the back which I wasn't too happy about and was just about to push on in the back straight before a slow jump dropped him back. An average one at the next and he was done for the day.
Falcon's Tribute was nibbled to 17/2 but was eased when he wasn't going to place. He'll find a better race to win than this.
Today. Bit more confident about Monte Pattino (16/1 huge!!, Stan James), he runs at Beverley's 4.15. I liked his win LTO at Musselburgh and he's now stepped up 2 grades, but they've found his trip and this doesn't look the best of C4s. The favourite still hasn't won nor run in this Class and yet is 11/4f. I like Pseudonym (5/1), but Yonder's (4/1) 2 wins were at shorter and he's unproven at 2m+.
Southwell
8.40 Highly Acclaimed (12/1, general, so bet365, Boylesports, Stan James). Run here in June seemed to perk her up from distinctly average. Steps up to 1m for the first time today which should suit, and up in Grade too. The two favourites will be up there too, but the rest are borderline crap. Interesting.
If you can get that 16/1 on Monte Pattino I reckon he'll start half that. Fingers crossed for today.
I couldn't place Thunder Rock at a distance I was confident he'd do well at, however the market backed him into 13/2 and I just had a feeling that he was in for a reason. He was out the back which I wasn't too happy about and was just about to push on in the back straight before a slow jump dropped him back. An average one at the next and he was done for the day.
Falcon's Tribute was nibbled to 17/2 but was eased when he wasn't going to place. He'll find a better race to win than this.
Today. Bit more confident about Monte Pattino (16/1 huge!!, Stan James), he runs at Beverley's 4.15. I liked his win LTO at Musselburgh and he's now stepped up 2 grades, but they've found his trip and this doesn't look the best of C4s. The favourite still hasn't won nor run in this Class and yet is 11/4f. I like Pseudonym (5/1), but Yonder's (4/1) 2 wins were at shorter and he's unproven at 2m+.
Southwell
8.40 Highly Acclaimed (12/1, general, so bet365, Boylesports, Stan James). Run here in June seemed to perk her up from distinctly average. Steps up to 1m for the first time today which should suit, and up in Grade too. The two favourites will be up there too, but the rest are borderline crap. Interesting.
If you can get that 16/1 on Monte Pattino I reckon he'll start half that. Fingers crossed for today.
Sunday 12 July 2009
Not a bad little card today at Stratford.
3.30 Thunder Rock (12/1, tote, sportingbet, coral) can't seem to find his trip or indeed his discipline. Has run well back over fences the last two times after some disappointing hurdling performances. Today he back down to 2m1f after trying trips from 2m3f to 3m3f. He'll need to be a bit closer to the action today but he's a big old price in this and I'd rather be with him than against him.
5.10 That Man Fox (22/1, sportingbet, skybet) is well overpriced in this. 8 runners so watch out for another non-runner but the bookies have missed this one off the radar. He hasn't run for a year but if he's going to land the cash this is probably the race to do it in.
Southwell
3.55 Falcon's Tribute (12/1, bet365, betfred, sportingbet) is overpriced at 12/1 in this but it is a little competative. I wasn't going to put it up but I won't be happy if she wins and I haven't put it up here. She needs to build on her penultimate start after disappointing LTO. Tentative selection.
No Ashes rant today, the scorecard says it all......
3.30 Thunder Rock (12/1, tote, sportingbet, coral) can't seem to find his trip or indeed his discipline. Has run well back over fences the last two times after some disappointing hurdling performances. Today he back down to 2m1f after trying trips from 2m3f to 3m3f. He'll need to be a bit closer to the action today but he's a big old price in this and I'd rather be with him than against him.
5.10 That Man Fox (22/1, sportingbet, skybet) is well overpriced in this. 8 runners so watch out for another non-runner but the bookies have missed this one off the radar. He hasn't run for a year but if he's going to land the cash this is probably the race to do it in.
Southwell
3.55 Falcon's Tribute (12/1, bet365, betfred, sportingbet) is overpriced at 12/1 in this but it is a little competative. I wasn't going to put it up but I won't be happy if she wins and I haven't put it up here. She needs to build on her penultimate start after disappointing LTO. Tentative selection.
No Ashes rant today, the scorecard says it all......
Saturday 11 July 2009
A Bet Free Day and Ashes Rants
Thursday's race didn't turn out as I'd hoped. Little bits of everything and lots of nothing. Arcano won (pah). Red Jazz was 3rd but not at the e/w price and Reignier was 4th... (at an e/w price). Tawaabb was the horse that was punted (12s --> 8s) but that doesn't matter as it finished 7th.
Racing Post Update:
I don't miss you at all
Today's racing is excellent, which is a shame because I can't find a tasty big priced winner for you. If in doubt leave it out and all that, let's keep our winnings for another day. And you may as well leave the Scoop 6 alone too as it won't be won this week.
The Ashes:
Can't say I'm impressed with England at all.
First of all they pick Panesar when he can't bat, field or now bowl. With Flintoff not 100% it was gonna be a risk to have only 3 seamers.
Their next faux pas was that ridiculous nightwatchman crap. Just who is he protecting?!?!?!? So Prior now has to hit boundaries coz he is protecting Anderson, when it should be the other way round and of course Prior gets out. Stupid Strauss. 400 is the MINIMUM on that pitch, 550 looks the par score and England are behind the 8 ball again. The should escape this time thanks to it being played in the wettest city in the universe however they didn't bother trying to save the Lord's Test in 2005. Do you remember play on sunday not starting til about 4pm and with dark clouds everywhere and rain set for tomorrow. England managed to lose 5 wickets in about 35 mins with some of the worst batting ever witnessed outside Frimley Green under-9's (when 3 players had Chicken-Pox), Giles and Jones being particularly dumb.
Oh where was I, that was it, moaning about English Cricket (I've just remembered another rant about the 2006-07 series - What do you mean it was never played, so we only need to draw this series to retain the Ashes then.... Sky being one of the worst culprits, and they made me stay up all night for Adelaide for that 'performance' :-) ), but anyway......
Thirdly, yes the ball was doing a bit on thursday but why oh why do England's batsman think that this is a Twenty/20 match..... This is Test cricket , the pinnacle of your life mate, stop sweeping balls that can't be swept KP and play every ball on its merits.... Hauritz is spinning the ball more on day 1 than our two will be on days 2, 3, & 4 and he's shit.
So the pitch looks benign, you wait til England bat.. The snakes in the pitch will all come out as per usual when England are in. The Aussie attack looks particularly average (but better than ours). Shame we can't concentrate for more than a session.
Rant of the Week: Shane Warne is playing in the World Series of Poker Main Event. He's dumped off 200k in chips in about an hour so he'll be back in the studio very soon. Perhaps he'll remember his history a bit better. His quote that Cardiff doesn't deserve the 1st Test *whinge*, it's traditional that it should go to Lord's *whine*. England are running scared *blah*.
Piss of Warnie... Get your facts right. Yes England haven't beaten you lot since 1934 at headquarters, yet this is the complete list of 5/6 Test Ashes series that the 1st Test has been played at Lord's:
1977
2005
THAT'S IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!..... 1 series before 2005.....
If you want I'll reel off the rest....
Nottingham 1899, 1905, 1921, 1926, 1930, 1934, 1938, 1948, 1953, 1956, 1964, 1981
Birmingham 1902, 1909, 1961, 1975, 1997, 2001
Manchester 1968, 1972, 1993
Leeds 1985, 1989.
There you go you baldie freak of nature..... *Love you really*... Just don't mess with history, especially my history....
The West Indies are on strike... Tino 'Windows' Best is leading their attack vs Banglandesh. Ho ho ho. Looks like Stanford really stuffed them over if they aren't paying their players. You wouldn't really know considering how lazy-arsed they were in the Test series vs England. By the looks of it maybe a couple of them won't get back in....
That's it for now.... ;-) *phew*
Racing Post Update:
I don't miss you at all
Today's racing is excellent, which is a shame because I can't find a tasty big priced winner for you. If in doubt leave it out and all that, let's keep our winnings for another day. And you may as well leave the Scoop 6 alone too as it won't be won this week.
The Ashes:
Can't say I'm impressed with England at all.
First of all they pick Panesar when he can't bat, field or now bowl. With Flintoff not 100% it was gonna be a risk to have only 3 seamers.
Their next faux pas was that ridiculous nightwatchman crap. Just who is he protecting?!?!?!? So Prior now has to hit boundaries coz he is protecting Anderson, when it should be the other way round and of course Prior gets out. Stupid Strauss. 400 is the MINIMUM on that pitch, 550 looks the par score and England are behind the 8 ball again. The should escape this time thanks to it being played in the wettest city in the universe however they didn't bother trying to save the Lord's Test in 2005. Do you remember play on sunday not starting til about 4pm and with dark clouds everywhere and rain set for tomorrow. England managed to lose 5 wickets in about 35 mins with some of the worst batting ever witnessed outside Frimley Green under-9's (when 3 players had Chicken-Pox), Giles and Jones being particularly dumb.
Oh where was I, that was it, moaning about English Cricket (I've just remembered another rant about the 2006-07 series - What do you mean it was never played, so we only need to draw this series to retain the Ashes then.... Sky being one of the worst culprits, and they made me stay up all night for Adelaide for that 'performance' :-) ), but anyway......
Thirdly, yes the ball was doing a bit on thursday but why oh why do England's batsman think that this is a Twenty/20 match..... This is Test cricket , the pinnacle of your life mate, stop sweeping balls that can't be swept KP and play every ball on its merits.... Hauritz is spinning the ball more on day 1 than our two will be on days 2, 3, & 4 and he's shit.
So the pitch looks benign, you wait til England bat.. The snakes in the pitch will all come out as per usual when England are in. The Aussie attack looks particularly average (but better than ours). Shame we can't concentrate for more than a session.
Rant of the Week: Shane Warne is playing in the World Series of Poker Main Event. He's dumped off 200k in chips in about an hour so he'll be back in the studio very soon. Perhaps he'll remember his history a bit better. His quote that Cardiff doesn't deserve the 1st Test *whinge*, it's traditional that it should go to Lord's *whine*. England are running scared *blah*.
Piss of Warnie... Get your facts right. Yes England haven't beaten you lot since 1934 at headquarters, yet this is the complete list of 5/6 Test Ashes series that the 1st Test has been played at Lord's:
1977
2005
THAT'S IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!..... 1 series before 2005.....
If you want I'll reel off the rest....
Nottingham 1899, 1905, 1921, 1926, 1930, 1934, 1938, 1948, 1953, 1956, 1964, 1981
Birmingham 1902, 1909, 1961, 1975, 1997, 2001
Manchester 1968, 1972, 1993
Leeds 1985, 1989.
There you go you baldie freak of nature..... *Love you really*... Just don't mess with history, especially my history....
The West Indies are on strike... Tino 'Windows' Best is leading their attack vs Banglandesh. Ho ho ho. Looks like Stanford really stuffed them over if they aren't paying their players. You wouldn't really know considering how lazy-arsed they were in the Test series vs England. By the looks of it maybe a couple of them won't get back in....
That's it for now.... ;-) *phew*
Thursday 9 July 2009
Just the one
Newmarket
2.00 Barry Hills runs Red Jazz (8/1) here (Michael is on board). On the face of it, 7th at Royal Ascot behind the extremely impressive Canfield Cliffs isn't too much to shout about, but that was a good race. I'm not sure I could say the same about this one. 8/1 looks good value. 2 horses at larger prices that should run well are Tawaabb (12/1) and Reignier (16/1, bluesq). These filled the places in the 5f Group 2 race at Royal Ascot. Tawaabb was fancied, Reignier wasn't. Both step up to 6f today and are worth following. We don't know much about Arcano's win on debut, but he's got to be worth opposing in this contest.
And that's it. One race with a little value today. Don't want to sway you one way or the other on how to approach it, so I won't...
Good luck
2.00 Barry Hills runs Red Jazz (8/1) here (Michael is on board). On the face of it, 7th at Royal Ascot behind the extremely impressive Canfield Cliffs isn't too much to shout about, but that was a good race. I'm not sure I could say the same about this one. 8/1 looks good value. 2 horses at larger prices that should run well are Tawaabb (12/1) and Reignier (16/1, bluesq). These filled the places in the 5f Group 2 race at Royal Ascot. Tawaabb was fancied, Reignier wasn't. Both step up to 6f today and are worth following. We don't know much about Arcano's win on debut, but he's got to be worth opposing in this contest.
And that's it. One race with a little value today. Don't want to sway you one way or the other on how to approach it, so I won't...
Good luck
Wednesday 8 July 2009
Thank You Racing Post
Today, the Racing Post online goes members only for £9.99 a month. Not bad value to be honest at 33p a day, however it will now save me a lot of money as I won't have to read their drivel about why my selections can't win and so I can't be put off backing them.
Right, it's the first day of Newmarket's July meeting. No need to go mad, it's not Royal Ascot or anything, we lose enough money at these things anyway, however my selection in the first is also thre RP's spotlight selection here.
Newmarket
1.30 Would have been First City but the price has gone in from 14/1. Shame thought it would be a good day today.
In fact ther eis very little around, maybe with all the rain it's a good thing to lay it off for a day or two. 3 days without a bet, most unusual. Still we have a much bigger fish to fry, bring on the Aussies. All I ask for is that the 1st Test is better than the last one in 2005, which was a day of highs and lows. I'm just about to take the phone off the hook and settle down at 10am for 7 weeks of pleasure.
Right, it's the first day of Newmarket's July meeting. No need to go mad, it's not Royal Ascot or anything, we lose enough money at these things anyway, however my selection in the first is also thre RP's spotlight selection here.
Newmarket
1.30 Would have been First City but the price has gone in from 14/1. Shame thought it would be a good day today.
In fact ther eis very little around, maybe with all the rain it's a good thing to lay it off for a day or two. 3 days without a bet, most unusual. Still we have a much bigger fish to fry, bring on the Aussies. All I ask for is that the 1st Test is better than the last one in 2005, which was a day of highs and lows. I'm just about to take the phone off the hook and settle down at 10am for 7 weeks of pleasure.
Monday 6 July 2009
woot 2
Chorizo won @ 13/2. There was a rule 4 of 20p on the 12/1 we got, but very happy with that. That other stupid 7/2 shot, Lucky Buddha, didn't.. But another day in the black is good. If you backed any of the other horses mentioned yesterday, well Cobo Bay was 2nd @ 11/2 (from 12/1) and Intersky Music won (Bob Mountain another NR)...
Racing is truly shite today, so not bets til tomorrow. However Resurge runs again at Windsor tonight. 15/8f is too short although he has another decent chance. We got him at his price and he won't be that for a while.
Racing is truly shite today, so not bets til tomorrow. However Resurge runs again at Windsor tonight. 15/8f is too short although he has another decent chance. We got him at his price and he won't be that for a while.
Sunday 5 July 2009
not worth bothering about - grrrr
This was going to be a decent day with all of them winning of course, but withing the time it takes to witter on for ages, its all gone a bit Pete. Ho hum, I'll leave it up for you.
Ayr
2.10 A 3yo handicap with no previous winners in the field. The horse with IMHO, the best performance so far is Lucky Buddha (7/2 from 4/1), who's 3rd at Newcastle in C5 was pretty decent. Not a great run last time, but has the opportunity to score today in a weaker looking race. The 7/2 on offer is on the lower limits of my betting, but it still offers a bit of value.
4.40 Was going to be Cobo Bay, but while 16/1 was good value with skybet, that price has now change to 12/1 so I am having a hissy fit, no bet
Market Rasen
3.20 This looks a pretty decent race with lots of horses in 'form'. This gives a great opportunity of Michael's Dream (12/1) to sneak in under the rader. In decent nick himself, he's offered at a huge price here. Hi Dancer (4/1jf) is runnig over hurdles for the first time in ages, can't quite understand why they would bother tbh. Intersky Music (4/1jf) and Bob Mountain (6/1) look likely threats to our pick, but I really can't see him out of the frame here. Michael's Dream is now a NR..... sigh.......
3.50 A good race here. Tempsford (3/1f) looks a solid favourite. There are a couple of ew picks that are backable. Leopold (16/1) offers us a nice price on a very consistent horse and I think will go well, the excellent claimer Ryan Mania is on board. Not sure whether to split stakes with Chorizo (12/1). Price is ok and could upset the applecart. Scratch that. Leopold now a NR... Chorizo will have to be the selection...
What a waste of time that was.
Ayr
2.10 A 3yo handicap with no previous winners in the field. The horse with IMHO, the best performance so far is Lucky Buddha (7/2 from 4/1), who's 3rd at Newcastle in C5 was pretty decent. Not a great run last time, but has the opportunity to score today in a weaker looking race. The 7/2 on offer is on the lower limits of my betting, but it still offers a bit of value.
4.40 Was going to be Cobo Bay, but while 16/1 was good value with skybet, that price has now change to 12/1 so I am having a hissy fit, no bet
Market Rasen
3.20 This looks a pretty decent race with lots of horses in 'form'. This gives a great opportunity of Michael's Dream (12/1) to sneak in under the rader. In decent nick himself, he's offered at a huge price here. Hi Dancer (4/1jf) is runnig over hurdles for the first time in ages, can't quite understand why they would bother tbh. Intersky Music (4/1jf) and Bob Mountain (6/1) look likely threats to our pick, but I really can't see him out of the frame here. Michael's Dream is now a NR..... sigh.......
3.50 A good race here. Tempsford (3/1f) looks a solid favourite. There are a couple of ew picks that are backable. Leopold (16/1) offers us a nice price on a very consistent horse and I think will go well, the excellent claimer Ryan Mania is on board. Not sure whether to split stakes with Chorizo (12/1). Price is ok and could upset the applecart. Scratch that. Leopold now a NR... Chorizo will have to be the selection...
What a waste of time that was.
Friday 3 July 2009
Woot
Great 7 length win for Resurge on monday....... our only bet of the day....
3 days of downtime on the t'internet has resulted in a lack of activity at this end. There may have been some bets today but its a little late to do it so the next update will be on sunday morning.
3 days of downtime on the t'internet has resulted in a lack of activity at this end. There may have been some bets today but its a little late to do it so the next update will be on sunday morning.
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