Newbury
12.25 Cornelia (20/1, PP, SJ) looks fairly decent. May struggle to overcome the favourite Over Sixty, but a place is up for grabs. Up in grade after a confidence boosting win over 2m (at tough Towcester). This is back up to 2m 5f on a flatter track, where she can place. *Update - price changed, now BP 16/1 with Skybet, sportingbet and Ladbrokes*
1.30 Sovereign Spirit (18/1, sportingbet) Best efforts at Fontwell, but again, take out the fav, Parlesotho and he'd have a chance. Again up in class, but wants 2m 5f and probably further later in the season.
A few other bets at decent win odds today are.
Newbury 3.15 Kerrys Girl (9/2, general) Up in class today, but steady improvement and I'll take a chance at a nice price.
Taunton 2.15 Sassanias (10/1, bet365, boylesports, skybet, 7 run) Not saying he'll win, but 10/1 is an awfully big price if you want to take on The Nightingale (1/6f).
Uttoxeter 3.05 Flemon Loon (11/2, sportingbet, skybet) Though his Sedgefield run LTO was pretty impressive and a run up to that standard again will do the business.
Uttoxeter 3.35 Bleu Run (9/2, general) New connections might have found him a decent race here. Impressive 4th LTO. Luccombe Bay may have the wins, but don't think they were against much.
Toodle pip, won't be a blog for the Hennessey on saturday. Will be quiet for the next 2 weeks, I'd imagine ;-)
Thursday 27 November 2008
Saturday 22 November 2008
Who want's to be a Multi-Millionaire?
The Scoop 6 rolls over again. Surely worth £2 of anyone's money to win £3m. I'll have a few pounds on it but won't go mad. The 6 races are
2.10 Lingfield
2.40 Lingfield
2.45 Haydock
3.20 Lingfield
3.30 Huntingdon
3.50 Lingfield
2.10 Lingfield
This doesn't look too bad to me, I've narrowed it down to 4 here :-) . Atlantic Star (9/2f), Beat The Bell (8/1), Swift Gift (9/1) and Ebraam (9/1). Markab looks to take them along but don't think he's good enough. My Gacho won this week, but isn't one to rely on. A big outsider is course specialist Fajr (28/1, Hills), who's won 7 of his 11 races around here.
2.40 Lingfield
A little bit tougher here. Only half a dozen here. I really think Secret Night (7/1) is pretty strong here. Jennie Jerome (6/1f) has a chance, but I think I'll leave that one out as she's only won 1 in 7 and makes her AW debut today. Everything else in single figures has a chance here and it's worth your while sticking to the front of the market.
2.45 Haydock
If Osako D'airy (4/1f) doesn't win, a few tickets will be torn up. He has a pretty decent chance but there are a few horses to threaten him. The Morning Line raving about Possol, but he steps up to 3m for the first time. Glasker Mill (9/1) and I Hear Thunder (14/1) look overpriced to me and should be up there. 2 horses who haven't hit the heights of a couple of years ago are Mon Mome (25/1) and Naunton Brook (16/1). Both shouldn't win, but can do if they fancy it.
3.20 Lingfield
I like the look of Bronze Cannon (5/1jf), who looked a class act 6 months ago. Need to refind it here. It's a pricewise horse, so It will probably be best if it didn't win. We don't want the £2 RP readers to still be in after 4 legs. Baharah (5/1jf) and Re Barolo (13/2) come next and have good chances. Harvest Queen (11/1) and Adjar (14/1) are the best of the outsiders.
3.30 Huntingdon
This is the acid test. I'll stick to which ones can't win. Er.... um.... none of them. They all have a chance.... arse. I won't put you off. The only horse above 16/1 that I would consider putting in is, Lowe Go (25/1). This should go to one of the top 9 in the betting .... hehe
3.50 Lingfield
A little easier if you are still in. Just Chief Editor (9/2) and Prohibit (5/1) for me. Will be opposing Ceremonial Jade (100/30f). Barry Dennis agrees with me and that's all I needed to know.
I'll add any other non-Scoop 6 fancies later on this morning if there are any.
Football
The footie did ok last week. Nice win for the Villa @ 7/1. Hope you were on. Carlsile, Derby and Darlo all won. Of course Spurs decided to play crap and Blackburn couldn't hold onto their Ht lead.
This week there is very little about. Man City (23/10, Hills) play Arsenal (11/8, VC, PP) and both teams offer value.
Backing Preston again. They are 10/11 (Betfred, Skybet) at home to Barnsley. After throwing away a 2 goal lead away at home to Southampton and busting all my trebles, I'm giving them 1 more chance.
Hereford (6/4, Skybet, PP, Coral, Lads) can beat Northampton. It's risky, but Hereford aren't that bad. Although Northampton are a tricky side to play against.
Scunthorpe (6/4, Skybet) are playing Leicester at home. Top of the table clash. Scunthorpe are a good side and Leicester are wobbling..... Get on..
A Skybet risky treble looks on the cards.
I had to double-take while going through the NFL handicaps. Miami are a 1pt favourite against the Patriots. Now the Fins are my team, and we all know Brady is out for the season, however surely the Pats should still be favs. Oh well, I've had a small interest. My Titans bet is looking good. 10/1 with extrabet to win the division, they host the Jets in a tough game this week. Hoping to close that one soon.
2.10 Lingfield
2.40 Lingfield
2.45 Haydock
3.20 Lingfield
3.30 Huntingdon
3.50 Lingfield
2.10 Lingfield
This doesn't look too bad to me, I've narrowed it down to 4 here :-) . Atlantic Star (9/2f), Beat The Bell (8/1), Swift Gift (9/1) and Ebraam (9/1). Markab looks to take them along but don't think he's good enough. My Gacho won this week, but isn't one to rely on. A big outsider is course specialist Fajr (28/1, Hills), who's won 7 of his 11 races around here.
2.40 Lingfield
A little bit tougher here. Only half a dozen here. I really think Secret Night (7/1) is pretty strong here. Jennie Jerome (6/1f) has a chance, but I think I'll leave that one out as she's only won 1 in 7 and makes her AW debut today. Everything else in single figures has a chance here and it's worth your while sticking to the front of the market.
2.45 Haydock
If Osako D'airy (4/1f) doesn't win, a few tickets will be torn up. He has a pretty decent chance but there are a few horses to threaten him. The Morning Line raving about Possol, but he steps up to 3m for the first time. Glasker Mill (9/1) and I Hear Thunder (14/1) look overpriced to me and should be up there. 2 horses who haven't hit the heights of a couple of years ago are Mon Mome (25/1) and Naunton Brook (16/1). Both shouldn't win, but can do if they fancy it.
3.20 Lingfield
I like the look of Bronze Cannon (5/1jf), who looked a class act 6 months ago. Need to refind it here. It's a pricewise horse, so It will probably be best if it didn't win. We don't want the £2 RP readers to still be in after 4 legs. Baharah (5/1jf) and Re Barolo (13/2) come next and have good chances. Harvest Queen (11/1) and Adjar (14/1) are the best of the outsiders.
3.30 Huntingdon
This is the acid test. I'll stick to which ones can't win. Er.... um.... none of them. They all have a chance.... arse. I won't put you off. The only horse above 16/1 that I would consider putting in is, Lowe Go (25/1). This should go to one of the top 9 in the betting .... hehe
3.50 Lingfield
A little easier if you are still in. Just Chief Editor (9/2) and Prohibit (5/1) for me. Will be opposing Ceremonial Jade (100/30f). Barry Dennis agrees with me and that's all I needed to know.
I'll add any other non-Scoop 6 fancies later on this morning if there are any.
Football
The footie did ok last week. Nice win for the Villa @ 7/1. Hope you were on. Carlsile, Derby and Darlo all won. Of course Spurs decided to play crap and Blackburn couldn't hold onto their Ht lead.
This week there is very little about. Man City (23/10, Hills) play Arsenal (11/8, VC, PP) and both teams offer value.
Backing Preston again. They are 10/11 (Betfred, Skybet) at home to Barnsley. After throwing away a 2 goal lead away at home to Southampton and busting all my trebles, I'm giving them 1 more chance.
Hereford (6/4, Skybet, PP, Coral, Lads) can beat Northampton. It's risky, but Hereford aren't that bad. Although Northampton are a tricky side to play against.
Scunthorpe (6/4, Skybet) are playing Leicester at home. Top of the table clash. Scunthorpe are a good side and Leicester are wobbling..... Get on..
A Skybet risky treble looks on the cards.
I had to double-take while going through the NFL handicaps. Miami are a 1pt favourite against the Patriots. Now the Fins are my team, and we all know Brady is out for the season, however surely the Pats should still be favs. Oh well, I've had a small interest. My Titans bet is looking good. 10/1 with extrabet to win the division, they host the Jets in a tough game this week. Hoping to close that one soon.
Saturday 15 November 2008
2 Mill up for grabs....
No time to talk today..... have some footie value in these 5..
Spurs @ Fulham @ 5/4
Blackburn vs Sunderland @ 11/10
Derby vs Sheff Wed @ evs
Carlisle vs Brighton @ 6/4
Darlington vs Lincoln @ 10/11
Also Aston Villa are 7/1 @ Skybet to win at Arsenal. Suddenly Arsenal are a great team again, I don't think so, they still have the same soft underbelly and Villa are solid with some decent players. Far too big.
The 6 Scoop 6 races are
Cheltenham 2.00
Cheltenham 2.35
Wetherby 2.55
Cheltenham 3.10
Wetherby 3.25
Cheltenham 3.45
2.00 Cheltenham
Looks like you'll need to chose from, Halcon Generlardais, Joe Lively, Parsons Legacy, Comply Or Die and Flintoff. Joe Lively for me
2.35 Cheltenham
19 of last 25 winner have come from first 4 in the betting. So at the moment, you are looking at Silverburn, Barbers Shop, Imperial Commander and Bible Lord. Don't rule out Ouzbeck and Ashley Brook and Private Be are lively outsiders.
2.55 Wetherby
Rakalackey and Gold Heart look strong. Outsiders, Super Road Train, Trisons Star and Morgan Be could shock.
3.10 Cheltenham
I really fancy Copsale Lad (20/1, skybet) to cause an upset. Reckon there could be a big old winner in this race.
3.25 Wetherby
Knockavilla, Pay Attention, Heavenly Chorus or Good Spirit.
3.45 Cheltenham
Sunnyhillboy, Hernando Royal, Keki Buku or Oldrik.
Laters,
VH
Spurs @ Fulham @ 5/4
Blackburn vs Sunderland @ 11/10
Derby vs Sheff Wed @ evs
Carlisle vs Brighton @ 6/4
Darlington vs Lincoln @ 10/11
Also Aston Villa are 7/1 @ Skybet to win at Arsenal. Suddenly Arsenal are a great team again, I don't think so, they still have the same soft underbelly and Villa are solid with some decent players. Far too big.
The 6 Scoop 6 races are
Cheltenham 2.00
Cheltenham 2.35
Wetherby 2.55
Cheltenham 3.10
Wetherby 3.25
Cheltenham 3.45
2.00 Cheltenham
Looks like you'll need to chose from, Halcon Generlardais, Joe Lively, Parsons Legacy, Comply Or Die and Flintoff. Joe Lively for me
2.35 Cheltenham
19 of last 25 winner have come from first 4 in the betting. So at the moment, you are looking at Silverburn, Barbers Shop, Imperial Commander and Bible Lord. Don't rule out Ouzbeck and Ashley Brook and Private Be are lively outsiders.
2.55 Wetherby
Rakalackey and Gold Heart look strong. Outsiders, Super Road Train, Trisons Star and Morgan Be could shock.
3.10 Cheltenham
I really fancy Copsale Lad (20/1, skybet) to cause an upset. Reckon there could be a big old winner in this race.
3.25 Wetherby
Knockavilla, Pay Attention, Heavenly Chorus or Good Spirit.
3.45 Cheltenham
Sunnyhillboy, Hernando Royal, Keki Buku or Oldrik.
Laters,
VH
Saturday 1 November 2008
Oh what a wonderful morning
Yes, its here, real racing starts today.
A quick word on the last blog... Please ignore any 'value' laying Chelsea, they are obviously far too good for most teams.... Thanks...
Stimulation won, Shaweel did not, 4th every time I back him unfortunately.
Ascot
1.35 The first of the Scoop 6 races. I think Ladbrokes are out of line with their 7/1 quote about Blue Bajan. Definitely overpriced. The market probably has it spot on with Font (7/2) and The Polomoche (11/2). A horse I follow, Leslingtaylor is 14/1 for this but is best watched on this occasion. Blue Bajan has it all in his favour today at a nice price. Nail the Magic Sign for their foolishness.
1.35 The horse to look at here is Air Force One (3/1f), who should be one for your Ten To Follow lists. A nice horse who's jumping has improved every race. I'll have my beady eye on Abragante (5/1) too as he was a decent chaser last season. 2 horses is this that have an interesting past are Charlie's Future (20/1) & Out The Black (22/1). Check out the finish to their race at Exeter 2 years ago.
http://www.attheraces.com/form.aspx?raceid=123751&meetingid=&date=2006-10-31&ref=form&refsite=
I was on Doc Row and walked out the betting shop in disgust and missed it... lol
Charlie's Future has the edge in their clashes but is running in a Class 2 for the first time today. Out The Black actually has C&D form, loves the ground, has won in this class before. Could be a big priced outsider to be honest. hmmmmm....
Newmarket
2.10 Looks a good but tough 2yo race on paper. A quick guess from me. Either Burgundy Ice (5/1f) and Rosy Mantle (6/1). Dream In Waiting (25/1, Lads) is a big price and could offer some value.
3.20 Typical big old Scoop 6 handicap. I'm not going to waffle about all the chances. Zero Tolerance (20/1, Skybet) is the 2005 & 2006 winner. Has run pretty decently this season and is my value pick.
3.55 Can Bankable (11/4f, Lads, Sky) end this run... 5 seconds in a row, including a 2nd to Charlie Farnsbarns last time. Actually I think he has things in his favour today and he gets a thumbs up from me.
Wetherby
3.00 Very open race. Can only rule out the 2 outsiders. Petitfour (3/1) and Mobaasher (11/4f) are up and coming staying hurdlers, whilst Lough Derg (8/1) and Faasel (13/2, SJ) are the more wise stayers who haven't quite done the buisiness on a consistent basis. So ideally the 2 youngsters can start a new world order to challenge Inglis Drever for the World Hurdle.
There's very little e/w value floating around today, only a few 8/1 shots, but not big enough to recommend. Kauto Star runs at Down Royal today and the Scoop6 will be well worth winning today. Now for some football.
I earmarked 7 value selections today. I wouldn't put them into anything bigger than trebles.
Burnley vs Norwich (17/20, Betdirect/SJ)
Preston vs Southampton (4/5, general)
Huddersfield vs Crewe (5/6, Coral)
Stockport vs Carlisle (evs), betfred, Hills, PP)
Dag & Red vs Acrrington (4/5, general)
Exeter vs Chester (4/5, PP)
Shrewsbury vs Luton (4/5, bet365, Coral, SJ, Skybet)
have fun
A quick word on the last blog... Please ignore any 'value' laying Chelsea, they are obviously far too good for most teams.... Thanks...
Stimulation won, Shaweel did not, 4th every time I back him unfortunately.
Ascot
1.35 The first of the Scoop 6 races. I think Ladbrokes are out of line with their 7/1 quote about Blue Bajan. Definitely overpriced. The market probably has it spot on with Font (7/2) and The Polomoche (11/2). A horse I follow, Leslingtaylor is 14/1 for this but is best watched on this occasion. Blue Bajan has it all in his favour today at a nice price. Nail the Magic Sign for their foolishness.
1.35 The horse to look at here is Air Force One (3/1f), who should be one for your Ten To Follow lists. A nice horse who's jumping has improved every race. I'll have my beady eye on Abragante (5/1) too as he was a decent chaser last season. 2 horses is this that have an interesting past are Charlie's Future (20/1) & Out The Black (22/1). Check out the finish to their race at Exeter 2 years ago.
http://www.attheraces.com/form.aspx?raceid=123751&meetingid=&date=2006-10-31&ref=form&refsite=
I was on Doc Row and walked out the betting shop in disgust and missed it... lol
Charlie's Future has the edge in their clashes but is running in a Class 2 for the first time today. Out The Black actually has C&D form, loves the ground, has won in this class before. Could be a big priced outsider to be honest. hmmmmm....
Newmarket
2.10 Looks a good but tough 2yo race on paper. A quick guess from me. Either Burgundy Ice (5/1f) and Rosy Mantle (6/1). Dream In Waiting (25/1, Lads) is a big price and could offer some value.
3.20 Typical big old Scoop 6 handicap. I'm not going to waffle about all the chances. Zero Tolerance (20/1, Skybet) is the 2005 & 2006 winner. Has run pretty decently this season and is my value pick.
3.55 Can Bankable (11/4f, Lads, Sky) end this run... 5 seconds in a row, including a 2nd to Charlie Farnsbarns last time. Actually I think he has things in his favour today and he gets a thumbs up from me.
Wetherby
3.00 Very open race. Can only rule out the 2 outsiders. Petitfour (3/1) and Mobaasher (11/4f) are up and coming staying hurdlers, whilst Lough Derg (8/1) and Faasel (13/2, SJ) are the more wise stayers who haven't quite done the buisiness on a consistent basis. So ideally the 2 youngsters can start a new world order to challenge Inglis Drever for the World Hurdle.
There's very little e/w value floating around today, only a few 8/1 shots, but not big enough to recommend. Kauto Star runs at Down Royal today and the Scoop6 will be well worth winning today. Now for some football.
I earmarked 7 value selections today. I wouldn't put them into anything bigger than trebles.
Burnley vs Norwich (17/20, Betdirect/SJ)
Preston vs Southampton (4/5, general)
Huddersfield vs Crewe (5/6, Coral)
Stockport vs Carlisle (evs), betfred, Hills, PP)
Dag & Red vs Acrrington (4/5, general)
Exeter vs Chester (4/5, PP)
Shrewsbury vs Luton (4/5, bet365, Coral, SJ, Skybet)
have fun
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