Friday 13 August 2010

Twatter

Due to extreme times of busyness in my hectic schedule, I've decide to set up a twitter account to post tips within 146 characters via my iphone, I'll still talk shite on here, but at least I can relay my selections while on the road. They should all be up by noon if there are any.

I Am "TheValueHunter"

VH

Friday 6 August 2010

Part Two

League One

The lower divisions has so much better value normally, especially when, as a Brentford supporter, you've kind of lived your life there. Maybe the odds-compilers are just lazy. Good, I like lazy, I'm one myself.

First of all, I've backed Brentford, Corals offered 14/1 for promotion, I can't turn that down, we've got more strikers than Arthur Scargill and i think we're better than the 9th we finished last season in a weaker division. Southampton should walk the division with Rickie Lambert banging in 25-30 goals. There is little else to say. On the handicaps Brentford probably offer the best value, but were tipped by the RP
so are now 10/1 (from 18/1) with Bet365. Coral's larger handicaps are a pain, but they aren't too far off in this division tbh and that is probably the best of the rest.

I've backed Yeovil, but wish I hadn't as they are unlikely to improve to much on last year, although they should be safe from promotion. The team that interests me is Walsall (+36, Bet365). I haven't backed them yet, they've lost some players in the summer but I still think Bet365 are wrong with it, I maybe wrong (heaven forbid) and will have to delve into their new signings brfore commiting more money to a 9 month portfolio.

League Two

This looks completely open with 3 favourites depending where you bet.
Morecambe are 20/1 (Stan James), they'll be disappointed with both their start to last season and their play-off performance, but in between they were one of the form sides and I expect them to be there or there abouts again. They are +14 with Betfred.


Torquay finished the season strongly but have now been pounced upon.... they are now 8/1 with Bet365 in the handicap market, I can't recommend them now. Burton Albion looked at home in theri debut season and in Sean Harrad they have a good young striker. I've backed both (obviously in handicap/top scorer markets, doh).


The best match bets I found to combine into multiples were at Ladbrokes nad Bet365

Ladbrokes
Brentford vs Rochdale
Carlisle vs Dagenham
Morecambe vs Bury
Torquay vs Lincoln

Bet365
Morecambe vs Bury
Walsall vs Rochdale
Southampton vs Sheff Wed

Working tomorrow so no tipping of winners for the Scoop6.

2010-11 Starts here

Is Paktalos still running, probably. I didn't see the race, so my TV is still in tact, very disappointing. So lets look forward to the new football season.

The Racing Post did their usual 72 page pullout on bets for the new season, not a bad write up, some of my bets were in there which is a bit shit.... I was very comforted that Mark Langdon, their best pundit, was on board, did you know he tipped Spain to win the World Cup.... well done Mark top tipping, very left-field tip, cheers. Surprisingly he didn't recommend Chelsea to win the Premiership, but went for Arsenal @ 7/1...   can't touch that one.

Premiership
As usual there is very little value in the outright market. Laying Man City at a ridiculous 7.0 is probably the best bet. There are some seriously deluded people out there. It could be a much tighter race this season and it may help the handicaps as I can't see the winner getting 90 points. 85 would be nearer the mark which puts a host of teams around +38 neading 47 pts to be in with a shout of wnning in the handicap market.

In the last 2 seasons. I've found the winner in Fulham and Birmingham.

The 3 teams I like this year are all underrated by the bookies. The best bet is Everton +24 (Coral, 15/1), +23 (Stan James, 14/1 and Ladbrokes 12/1) I've backed them with SJ as Corals handicaps are big, which means some other bugger has a big handicap behind them. Ladbrokes are the tightest, but SJ isn't too far behind on that. Everton had some bad injuries at the start of last season and they finished strongly. Assuming they improve on 61 pts, that puts them in the 85+ points range.

Stoke are hard to beat and +40 (Bet365, 15/1) or preferably +39 (Stan James, 18/1) is still pretty high, Blackburn are in the same boat, Sam Alladyce has made them hard to beat and they can improve from last years 50pts. They are +40 with Betfred @ 15/1.


Championship
I've already given Bristol City and Reading as my outsiders for the season. I'm still in love with Doncaster in the handicaps. They are just underrated by the bookies, although the RP has picked up on it this year. +26 with vcbet, +28 with Corals. Barnsley under Mark Robins were the form team just after he took over before falling away at the end of the season, They are also underrated at are worth a bet in the handicap, the RP has tipped them as well (great minds really DO think alike), +28 with Ladbrokes and +30 with Corals.

I rated Scunthorpe last year, but they look to have a stuggle on their hands after losing half of their team in the summer, they look doomed and I've taken relegation doubles alongside Dagenham & Redbridge and Rochdale, more about them later in part two.

Sunday 1 August 2010

Waffles for breakfast

Finally I get a nice relaxing morning and something to yak about. The World Cup is out of the way, what a pile of crap that was, football is on the whole.... SHIT.... overhyped by Sky, the BBC and the Sun.... I've been looking at some bets for the season and to be honest am struggling to find any value. I've backed Morecambe (20/1), Reading (14/1) and Bristol City (20/1) so far.  

Morecambe made such a sluggish start last season, no wins in the first 6 games or so, but still finished 4th. Unfortunately they got humped by Dagenham & Redbridge. Sammy McIlroy won't allow them to start slowly again and as long as the scars of that 6-0 thumping are healed, 20/1 is excellent value.

I've mainly backed Reading and Bristol City because of their managers. Brian McDermott took Reading from being relegation-threatened to playoff-chasing in half a season and the momentum of that should hold them in good stead. City have super Steve Coppell in charge and having snapped up David James, look to have the money behind to push for promotion. Coppell knows how to win the division and I expect the 20/1 to be shorter by the time the Racing Post pull-out arrives on wednesday. I've also backed those 2 for promotion at 4/1 and 6/1 respectively.

Horses now

I felt like I was in a bit better form in the last 2 weeks although Goodwood was tough for my type of betting, I'm just counting down the days to the proper racing starts, hopefully I have a bet today.

Chester 5.10
Paktolos (18/1, vcbet) is more of an all-weather horse, but ran well at York last weekend. In stall 2 here and is still a big price, I'm looking for a big run and expect a return on my money.