Laptop is fixed.... yes that's why I 've been away, not that you knew. Just in time too as Cheltenham is just 6 weeks away.
I noticed Paul Nicholls played down Taranis's chances of winning last weekend. Cheers Paul. As I've said before, his record with his fancies is awful and the ones he thinks 'need the run' etc often come up at a big price. I'm not saying he's bent, far from it, but I believe he writes what people think he should write in his column and I'd rather not bother reading it at all.
Very good racing today. The likes Of Kalahari King, Punchestowns and Binocular(!) running. Now let's find some winners.
Doncaster
2.55
Treaty Flyer @ 12/1 (general). She's getting on now, but had a hattrick of wins in the autumn. The good-soft ground is the worst she want so no more rain is appreciated. But this looks her sort of race. Definitely worth an e/w punt at the 12/1 minimum.
4.00
Now you know me, I like big handicaps, big prices and bottom weights and I think I've found 2 here. They're both Sue Smith runners and the indication of who is favoured could be in the jockey. Garleton (20/1, bet365, vcbet, PP, SJ) usually has Tjade Collier on board but he's on Smith's other tunner Stagecoach Diamond (25/1, Coral). Garleton won 4 times in 2009 and is now targetting 3 1/2 m+ races. Finished 4th the last 2 times on soft & heavy, but now gets his preferred good/good-soft ground and 4m is in his grasp. Stagecoach Diamond looks less impressive on paper, but has placed 5 of the last 7 runs. Again the ground will be better for him today and 4m on good-soft isn't beyond him. I reckon one will place at least and either could win. The prices are too big and i'm in like Flynn.
I think that's it, but will attempt the Scoop6 if I have enough time. For A £2 bet on the rollovers its a bit of fun that could win you a fortune. Don't copy my line here otherwise you'll only win a little as everyone will copy it, however the place part is sometimes worth winning too, one lady winning £80,000 as the only winner late last year.
1 Sandown 2.05 According
2 Wetherby 2.20 Flake
3 Doncaster 2.55 Treaty Flyer
4 Sandown 3.10 Merrydown
5 Doncaster 3.25 Oiseau De Nuit
6 Sandown 3.40 Exmoor Ranger
take care,
VH
