Oh what a wonderful morning

Yes, its here, real racing starts today.

A quick word on the last blog... Please ignore any 'value' laying Chelsea, they are obviously far too good for most teams.... Thanks...

Stimulation won, Shaweel did not, 4th every time I back him unfortunately.

Ascot
1.35 The first of the Scoop 6 races. I think Ladbrokes are out of line with their 7/1 quote about Blue Bajan. Definitely overpriced. The market probably has it spot on with Font (7/2) and The Polomoche (11/2). A horse I follow, Leslingtaylor is 14/1 for this but is best watched on this occasion. Blue Bajan has it all in his favour today at a nice price. Nail the Magic Sign for their foolishness.

1.35 The horse to look at here is Air Force One (3/1f), who should be one for your Ten To Follow lists. A nice horse who's jumping has improved every race. I'll have my beady eye on Abragante (5/1) too as he was a decent chaser last season. 2 horses is this that have an interesting past are Charlie's Future (20/1) & Out The Black (22/1). Check out the finish to their race at Exeter 2 years ago.

http://www.attheraces.com/form.aspx?raceid=123751&meetingid=&date=2006-10-31&ref=form&refsite=

I was on Doc Row and walked out the betting shop in disgust and missed it... lol

Charlie's Future has the edge in their clashes but is running in a Class 2 for the first time today. Out The Black actually has C&D form, loves the ground, has won in this class before. Could be a big priced outsider to be honest. hmmmmm....

Newmarket
2.10 Looks a good but tough 2yo race on paper. A quick guess from me. Either Burgundy Ice (5/1f) and Rosy Mantle (6/1). Dream In Waiting (25/1, Lads) is a big price and could offer some value.

3.20 Typical big old Scoop 6 handicap. I'm not going to waffle about all the chances. Zero Tolerance (20/1, Skybet) is the 2005 & 2006 winner. Has run pretty decently this season and is my value pick.

3.55 Can Bankable (11/4f, Lads, Sky) end this run... 5 seconds in a row, including a 2nd to Charlie Farnsbarns last time. Actually I think he has things in his favour today and he gets a thumbs up from me.

Wetherby
3.00 Very open race. Can only rule out the 2 outsiders. Petitfour (3/1) and Mobaasher (11/4f) are up and coming staying hurdlers, whilst Lough Derg (8/1) and Faasel (13/2, SJ) are the more wise stayers who haven't quite done the buisiness on a consistent basis. So ideally the 2 youngsters can start a new world order to challenge Inglis Drever for the World Hurdle.

There's very little e/w value floating around today, only a few 8/1 shots, but not big enough to recommend. Kauto Star runs at Down Royal today and the Scoop6 will be well worth winning today. Now for some football.

I earmarked 7 value selections today. I wouldn't put them into anything bigger than trebles.

Burnley vs Norwich (17/20, Betdirect/SJ)
Preston vs Southampton (4/5, general)
Huddersfield vs Crewe (5/6, Coral)
Stockport vs Carlisle (evs), betfred, Hills, PP)
Dag & Red vs Acrrington (4/5, general)
Exeter vs Chester (4/5, PP)
Shrewsbury vs Luton (4/5, bet365, Coral, SJ, Skybet)

have fun