Friday 6 August 2010

2010-11 Starts here

Is Paktalos still running, probably. I didn't see the race, so my TV is still in tact, very disappointing. So lets look forward to the new football season.

The Racing Post did their usual 72 page pullout on bets for the new season, not a bad write up, some of my bets were in there which is a bit shit.... I was very comforted that Mark Langdon, their best pundit, was on board, did you know he tipped Spain to win the World Cup.... well done Mark top tipping, very left-field tip, cheers. Surprisingly he didn't recommend Chelsea to win the Premiership, but went for Arsenal @ 7/1...   can't touch that one.

Premiership
As usual there is very little value in the outright market. Laying Man City at a ridiculous 7.0 is probably the best bet. There are some seriously deluded people out there. It could be a much tighter race this season and it may help the handicaps as I can't see the winner getting 90 points. 85 would be nearer the mark which puts a host of teams around +38 neading 47 pts to be in with a shout of wnning in the handicap market.

In the last 2 seasons. I've found the winner in Fulham and Birmingham.

The 3 teams I like this year are all underrated by the bookies. The best bet is Everton +24 (Coral, 15/1), +23 (Stan James, 14/1 and Ladbrokes 12/1) I've backed them with SJ as Corals handicaps are big, which means some other bugger has a big handicap behind them. Ladbrokes are the tightest, but SJ isn't too far behind on that. Everton had some bad injuries at the start of last season and they finished strongly. Assuming they improve on 61 pts, that puts them in the 85+ points range.

Stoke are hard to beat and +40 (Bet365, 15/1) or preferably +39 (Stan James, 18/1) is still pretty high, Blackburn are in the same boat, Sam Alladyce has made them hard to beat and they can improve from last years 50pts. They are +40 with Betfred @ 15/1.


Championship
I've already given Bristol City and Reading as my outsiders for the season. I'm still in love with Doncaster in the handicaps. They are just underrated by the bookies, although the RP has picked up on it this year. +26 with vcbet, +28 with Corals. Barnsley under Mark Robins were the form team just after he took over before falling away at the end of the season, They are also underrated at are worth a bet in the handicap, the RP has tipped them as well (great minds really DO think alike), +28 with Ladbrokes and +30 with Corals.

I rated Scunthorpe last year, but they look to have a stuggle on their hands after losing half of their team in the summer, they look doomed and I've taken relegation doubles alongside Dagenham & Redbridge and Rochdale, more about them later in part two.

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