Friday, 2 October 2009

Hello Again... Hello

Hasn't been much around to be honest and it's been a busy time for me when there is with work and all.

Bet today I hope I've struck gold, Nevada gold....

8.20 Wolverhampton
Nevada Desert (20/1, Ladbrokes, William Hill).... This horse has been doing crap in higher grades and now is running in C5 and dropping down the handicap (hmmm). Has a real chance here (well 20/1 is massive, I'm thinking 6/1 or 7/1) Get on while you can.

Wednesday, 16 September 2009

Nick Pullen

Months ago, I signed up to Nick Pullen's newletters, 3-4 times a week, he'll look for an edge and recommends strategies to follow.

On the 11th of August, he recommended 2 horsees to follow having spotted them run well from bad draws in the Stewards Cup. They were Brave Prospector and Striking Spirit.

With Brave Prospector, Nick told us to look for him coming back off a run within about 3 weeks over 6f in handicaps, running on good or soft ground and in a decent sized field. At York, Brave Prospector was 16th/17 over 5f. His next run was 24 days later at Doncaster @ 6 1/2f (on GF) and he hacked up at 16/1.

Of course I completely forgot about this until Nick reminded me and so I wasn't on.

Striking Spirit is trained by handicap sprint king Dandy Nicholls and will prefer firmer ground. He's run twice since and hasn't got any place money.. YET.

Both these horses are running in the Ayr Gold cup on saturday and could possibly win at big prices. I will keep an eye on things.

Nicks also given some stats on laying Tony McCoy mounts (at less than 4/1) to guarantee a profit regardless and earmarked following Nigel Twiston-Davies in September/October at Perth, Market Rasen and Warwick.

Since 2003 he has the following stats:
Course
R
W
SR%
£1
Perth
125
41
32.8
44.05
Warwick
103
24
23.3
46.85
M Rasen
67
21
31.3
52.98


Nick's newletters can be signed up here at:
http://www.horseracingfocus.co.uk/

Happy Punting

wednesday value

3.55 Yarmouth
Angel Rock (18/1, bluesq) At his best trip of a mile and back down in grade, he should go close. Has won on Good-Firm, but wouldn't be unhindered by some rain.

Friday, 4 September 2009

but that's not the point

Northern Spy was punted into 13/2ish and finished a never nearer 5th/6th. Got it right but the horse didn't know.

Wotchalike was not good shall I say... Steer clear of those short-priced types :-)


2 for today. I backed Gasparilla @ 40/1 the other day and she did me proud, finishing 5th by a short thing in a Nursery. Yes, she didn't get me any cash but that's not the point. She's going to win one, one day and she's turned out quickly on the AW at Kempton tonight. The 6.20 to be exact, well she's got to get her beauty sleep.... 25/1 with my favourite bookies, Bet365 and Stan James.

The 2nd bet is Jabal Tariq (12/1 general) in the 8.50. Admittedly this is asking more than he's offered before and Barry doesn't have one of his sons on board, but this doesn't look particularly strong. I'm definitely going to be unhappy if he's not in the top 4...... (yes I know it only pays top 3... but THAT'S NOT THE POINT...)

Monday, 31 August 2009

yowzers

Bingo... we had a winner in Diaweitza on saturday. King's Colour won from the 'wrong side' as well but we didn't back it. The 3rd selection was a non-runner. Hope you had a win trixie on that.... lol

Today there's lots of racing and I'm only going to root out the cream of the crop today (as always)

Epsom Downs
2.35 Northern Spy (16/1, Stan James) seems to like it around Epsom. He won here in July and am happy to recommend him again on good-firm today. He's drawn well and I expect a good run.

Cartmel
5.15 Wotchalike (7/2) looks a good bet in the last at Cartmel. His only challenger in my book is a non-runner, so 7/2 looks a good price.

have a successful Bank Holiday monday.
VH

Saturday, 29 August 2009

Saturdays quickie

Mr Plod wasn't backed. Seb did ok with him, but wilted towards the end. May have a race in him later on.

Some nice bets today, but will stick with the 2 I fancy most.


Redcar 520
Daaweitza (16/1, vcbet, bet365) steps up in trip but down in class today. He has been running over 6f, which isn't his trip and now runs at 1m2f today. His best distance is around 1m, but may want this step up.

Windsor 5.10
Hannicean 20/1 (boylesports). I was going to back this at 14/1. Now 20/1 with Boylesports, which is ridiculous. I'll leave off backing yet so you get the price. Very similar to Daaweitza at Redcar, in that he's stepping up in trip today looking for an edge. Steadily getting better today and his price is too large here.

Goodwood 4.55
I also want to back King's Colour @ 14/1. However he's not well drawn but it is worth watching his performance on the other side. If he's doing well there he'll be worth backing over 7f next time.

Football treble:
Dagenham 10/11 - Notts County evs - Charlton 5/4

Enjoy.

Monday, 24 August 2009

Quick one

This is an emergency post

Kempton 4.10

Horse called Mr Plod. 66/1 (Paddypower, 50/1 general). This is a 50/1 shot after all, but its very overpriced and hopefully it can run into a place. New trainer today and has first-time cheek-pieces. Worth a dabble methinks. Obviously its not a mortgage jobbie, but I expect it to start a bit shorter than this.