Friday 26 June 2009

disappointed

Yesterday could have been so good but ends up frustrating as usual.

Moon Sister cruised up on the rail and had nowhere to go. I don't think Darryl Holland did it very well tbh, but once he knew there was no gap, he eased him into last place. Moon Sister started at 15/2 (from 20/1) so job done as far as I'm concerned. Follow this filly next time.

Mayfair's Future SP'd at 5/1 (from 14/1) and managed to get 2nd, 3 lengths behind the worthy winner.

Slightly down on the day, but I'm happy with both selections.

Today there's a few more bets, but nothing as strong as yesterday's two.

Doncaster
4.00 2-yo races aren't my thing usually, but Avon River (13/2, betfred, sportingbet) hasn't really put a foot wrong in his last 2 races, winning his Maiden in May and then stepping up in Class and Distance last time at the Derby meeting. Up in trip again and overpriced considering he's a Hannon horse.

Newcastle
7.55 Why is Lady Bluesky (25/1, vcbet, skybet), a former bumper winner running in 7f flat races? This is a crap race, Silk Trail (evsf) and Kammaan (3/1) will be in the frame, but the 3rd favourite, Riley Queen Bee (4/1) is nothing special and the rest are awful, putting Lady Bluesky in the hunt for a place. Not a big bet, but 2/1 for the place isn't too bad in this race.

8.25 Ellmau's 12/1 (bet365) is far too huge for this horse. They are out of line and you should be able to lay this off @ 8/1 nearer the off. Will need to get back to his Southwell win of last autumn, however this step back up in trip will suit. Handsome Falcon (3/1f) is a decent favourite but I hope Ellmau rediscovers his best today.

Newmarket
8.40 Wiggy Smith is probably my bet of the day at Betfred's outstanding 12/1. His disappointing run last time may have inflated his price today and I'm happy to back him. His price should be about 4/1 in my book. Really can't understand it myself. "Ground may be a concern" says the Racing Post.. Its Good ground FFS... He 6 wins have come on GS (1), GF (2) and Good (3).. Jeeesuzzzzzzzzz

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