Thursday 30 July 2009

Goodwood on thursday

not bad using the draw stats on tuesday. I made an error in one. Manyriverstocross won from a 'bad draw' but it was 1m4f and didn't matter. Whoopsie...

Goodwood
2.10 High draw is best. Stall 10 and upwards I think. The top 4 in the betting are all on this side. Mirrored (4/1f), Roman Republic (6/1), Hyades (8/1) and Set The Trend (12/1, Stan James).

2.45
Borderlescott (7/2f) is drawn well and should challenge. Ialysos (7/1) the Greek freak is also on that side. Can't have Kingsgate Native. My e/w money is going on the Hills/Hills pairing on Equiano (20/1, spbet, PP, Sky, Bluesq).

3.25
Fav Schiaparelli looks not great value here and i'm looking to take it on. Caracciola could be the one at 8/1, however Friston Forest offers the most value at 14/1 with Betfred.

4.00
Nothing stands out in this.

4.35
High draw is best in this... means you should oppose Shamwari Lodge and Infiraad.

5.10
High draw again. 2yo race. 2 favs look ok, but I wouldn't touch them with the proverbial stolen money.

5.45
Big sprint. Not too high a draw here. High but not right out on the rail. Go to the pub.....

Epsom
5.55
Calculating (16/1, general) is a little too big in this. Has form up to 2m and also at 1m6. This should still be ok for him. Hasn't won on the turf is a worry though.

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