Goodwood day 63

Very happy with wednesdays tipping, giving Baddam and Love Galore, both at 16/1. Shaweel was nudged out of the frame on the line. Howdigo also placed. Went out of the placepot in Leg 4 (had the 4th) which would have paid out more than the £950 it did. If you got Mujood, you got a 2nd, if you chose Monkey Glas you got a good run but no cash...

The 4.50 @ Perth produced a very similar result to the day before with Eightfifysix (2nd) beating Fourpointone (3rd). both going down to a very good winner in Valerius. Northern Spy was backed into 8/1 before playing up before the race (according to RP) and running crappy. Worth watching out for again.

Goodwood
215
A nice little opener but i can't find an edge. I've never backed Sixties Icon (11/4), can't quite put my finger on it probably coz he's never offered the value or maybe the Morning Line/Racing Post have fawned over him like a newborn. Of the two I'd prefer Tranquil Tiger (5/1, sportingbet, partybets) who's a gutsy horse but I won't be having a bet in this. Stotsford (6/1) can't get in the frame this season and Galactic Star (5/1) split Sixties Icon and Tranquil Tiger in May and will be up there again. Lion Sands (11/1, bluesq) offers the best e/w value but not quite at an e/w price. :-(


250
a nice big handicap, so lets find a nice e/w bet. Express Wish (15/2f) is too short so avoid. The next half dozen or so just aren't backable in the 10-12 bracket even if they have decent chances. I want bigger in this size field. Having a quick lok at the trends suggest that there won't be a winner bigger than 10/1 (0/10) and Dandy Nicholls won the race 4 times in a row, but hasn't won for 6 years. So we're looking at a steamer in the market that will start @ 10/1.
Both Northern Dare (10/1) and Harrison George (10/1) have been nibbled this morning and both have their merits, I prefer the former of the two. Pusey Street Lady (28/1, bluesq) would be my tentative value selection but would like some more rain and I can't see it being soft enough for her. So all in all, not a betting proposition again...

330
A much bigger winner expected here just need to find some likely types. I backed Dhaular Dhar (16/1) in saturday's 2nd but steps up to a mile today. Won at Chester over a mile last season, but 7f is perfect. Badly drawn today. Masaalek (11/2) IS well drawn and worthy favourite, but wouldn't back it with stolen money at that price. Cape Hawk (11/1) is also well drawn and I fancy it's worth backing, but never like e/ws at less than 12/1, though with 1/4 odds available I guess it isn't soooo bad. Of the other well drawn horses, Dubai's Touch (10/1) looks like he already has his draw factored into his price coz he ain't "all that". Fifteen Love (6/1) is NO VALUE at all, and Huzzah (25/1, sportingbet) is a lovely horse (yes, I backed his win at Chester hehe) and I wouldn't put you off him at all at 25s... super price. At humungous prices and not terribly drawn in 8 & 9 are Regal Parade (20/1) and Vitznau (33/1, bluesq, skybet). Regal Parade beat the in-form Dhaular Dhar at Ascot and is a consistant sort who I expect to make the palces. Vitznau good 4th to Little White Lie at Epsom gives some confidence and he's a tough little cookie at a mouthwatering price. all in all its about time we had a bet and Regal Parade (20/1, boylesports 1/3 odds) and Vitznau look the e/w good things here. Huzzah is value but only at the 25/1 with sportingbet.

405
2yo races are not really my thing, so I can safely skip it. Oh Saxford (8/1, Ladbrokes) if i was there. do it in a toteswinger bet with Prolific (26/5, sportingbet).

440
Ditto.....

515
Fancied Our Faye (20/1, Ladbrokes, Hills) for a few races now and of course I was working when he won @ 12/1 last time. Very consistant and just the type to do something in this. Of the favs, Visit (13/5, sportingbet) is a bit short for a horse that always finds one too good. Red Dune (11/2, totesport) is nicely drawn and is one for the shortlist and Cheyenne Star (7/1, Vcbet, Ladbrokes, Hills), has the draw to overcome here and a topweight, but is star quality. all in all I'm with Our Faye at a tasty price.

550
Little Pete (16/1, Ladbrokes) looks a huge price considering he's a good horse. I'm ignoring his last run at Ascot as he was badly drawn. Lots of short priced horses that Pete can beat and I think he's a decent bet. Chartist (12/1) isn't quite the value of Little Pete, but another who's last run should be ignored and to concentrate on his consistant place record this season.