Saturday 2 August 2008

One more day...

Not a great day yesterday. The Graig WAS last lol but started at 8/1. But gutted about Little Pete (into 17/2) who led 100 yards out before losing by a nose to Piscean who i've backed previously without success (naturally) ... Our Faye was a non-runner.

Goodwood
205
I expect this to go to one of the favourites. Deep Winter (9/2) looks a nice horse but is beatable. Important for the Scoop6/Placepot to get it out of the frame. Not sure it will be that poor. Of the rest, Wikaala (10/1) looks a little too big in the betting but is tempremental. Palmerin (25/1, Hills) offers an e/w alternative but all in all there isn't a bet here.

2.40
Can't see why Perfect Stride (2/1f) is so short. Looks a talking horse to me. River Proud (7/2) has better credentials. Tanya reckons Stubbs Art (5/1) will hose up if it runs. i'm not so sure and neither is anyone else. The rest of them have chances and I won't put you off backing any of the next 3, Alexandros (10/1), Atlantic Sport (11/1) and Duntulm (10/1) who are artificially big due to the favourite.

3.15
Lush Lashes (2/1, skybet) offers much better value than the 2.40 favourite. At least she's done the business. Halfway To Heaven (9/2, Coral, partybets) will give her most to do. Passage Of Time (13/2) surely hasn't got her softer ground and can't be backed. I fancy Majestic Roi (22/1, skybet) to run a big race and is definitely some e/w value.

3.50
The big one, The Steward's Cup. Good luck :0). Ok Anything can win. Borderlescott (12/1, partybets) won this 2 years ago, but can't get his head in front but 12/1 is fair. John Francome doesn't think Prime Defender (8/1) can win as he don't think he'll like Goodwood, that's good enough for me and he's too short anyway. The Morning Line was actually pretty decent today, Not sure it was Big Mac or birds shitting on Thommo. Yes it was the birds. Knot In Wood's been in fantastic form and 10/1 is a fair price. Barney McGrew (16/1, sportingbet) has already been clipped this morning and offers little value on form. King's Apostle (14/1) hasn't been mentioned anywhere and can't be ruled out. E/W I recommend Bentong @ 25/1 as a little value and Orpsie Boy (33/1) is consistent.

4.25
2yo race with a few newcomers, get Holyrood out of the money the only aim.

5.00
Another 2yo race, but a little more to go on. Ideally getting the favourite out of the frame is the aim and there is opportunity. Tishtar (7/2, partybets) is possibly the only one to command some respect and with the tipsbox giving 8 tips to Finnegan McCool (11/2) and Golden Rosie (11/2) the sheep will surely follow. Fault (6/1) steps up to 6f for the first time but is a danger if he gets it. Ideally we'd get 3 big prices in the places and the placepot is sorted. Not a great betting proposition but could make or break the dividend. Stop waffling.

5.35
Looks a good race, shame the market has it spot on. I like Count Ceprano (11/1), but I'd want bigger to back him. No bets.

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