Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup (Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase) – Class 2 – 3m 11/2f

Sunnyhillboy won this race before unluckily losing the Grand National by a nose

Overview:

The last 2 winners were favourites, but big priced winners are also prevailent.

10-Year Trends

10/10 Were rate within 8lbs of the RPR top rated horse.

10/10 Had run over 3 miles or more last time.

10/10 Had won a Chase.

9/10 Were rated officially between 124 and 140.

9/10 Aged between 7 and 9.

Additionally

15 of the last 19 winners were aged 8 or 9.

The last 12 winners had run over 3 miles or more last time out.

Non-claiming amateurs highest finish in the last 2 renewals was 7^th. From 18 jockeys.

Ireland haven't won this in the last 29 renewals.

Contenders – 10 year trends winner averaged 4.3 stars

These are the best fit on the trends.

Harry The Viking 20/1 ***** No form this year, but trip is fine. Figures of PP9 and off the track for 100 or so days. A Paul Nicholls horse who will be lookingtowards the Grand National for this runner.

Prince Of Pirates 14/1 ***** Ground will be in his favour, but McCoy usually rides. A strong McManus contender.

Galaxy Rock 14/1 ***** Out and out stayer, on faster ground. Could be outpaced at the end especially as he hasn't been seen since November.

Same Difference 22/1 ***** The Twiston-Davies team are back after a yard virus. This has a chance after runnig well without showing too much.

Alfie Sherrin 10/1 ***** Winner of the JLT 3m Chase last year. Aged 10 and off for 77 days slight negatives, but this is a Jonjo handicapper and his price reflect it.

Chartreux 16/1 ***** Perfect. Big player but shown nothing in 2 festival runs over hurdles.

Relax 25/1 ***** Could be a little exposed with 15 chases, but is consistent and in good form.

Conclusions

Pleny of chances. Super Duty is a little high in the weights for a 6/1 shot, so each way is where I'm looking. I won't put you off Alfie Sherrin (10/1). I won't put up 4 horses, but will settle for 2. RELAX (25/1) and CHARTREUX (16/1). The 2 that missed the cut, but go into the comb-exacta are Prince Of Pirates (14/1) and Same Difference (22/1)